Details of the full suppressed report emerge – and the UK’s political landscape shifts

Last Friday afternoon, ITV exclusively aired details of the full climate national security assessment I have been raising concerns about for months – confirming what the Government had attempted to keep quiet.

You can watch it here.

I will share some immediate reflections below – but one thing is already clear: the attempt to keep the full findings from the public has failed.

This is now out in the open.

And it changes the terms of the debate in this country. Because what is at stake is no longer an abstract “environmental” question, but food security, economic stability, migration pressures and the resilience of the state itself in the face of ecosystem collapse.

Most revealing of all is the report’s own estimate that nature-loss could cost roughly 12% of UK GDP by 2030. For a growth-obsessed Government still weakening nature protections, that is politically seismic – and it clarifies why the full version remains withheld. This breakthrough follows sustained work by the Climate Majority Project, to force this issue into the public domain and demand full transparency. We have collaborated with other leading environmental groups to pressure the government, as reported here by ITV.

Once you have watched it, I urge you to share the YouTube video with your own thoughts. I believe it points the direction to what Britain needs to do next.

At the same time, something else has happened that would have been dismissed as impossible not long ago.
 
The Green Party’s extraordinary by-election victory last night in Gorton and Denton is a political shock of national significance.
 
For over a year I have been pushing back, every time I heard the fatalistic claim that Farage is “bound to be the next Prime Minister”. This result is powerful evidence that the political future of this country is wide open.
 
The two old parties are in deep, structural trouble. The era of automatic duopoly is ending.
 
What we are now seeing is the emergence of a new political landscape in which the real contest is increasingly between two insurgent forces – the Greens and Reform – with everything to play for.
 
That does not mean the Green Party can be complacent. On the contrary: greater credibility brings greater scrutiny. It means getting serious about how we would govern, about economic resilience, about strategic adaptation, and about speaking to the whole country.
 
But for the first time in modern British history, it is no longer fanciful to ask:
 
What would it take for Greens to enter government?
 
And that changes everything.
 
Huge congratulations to Hannah Spencer and to everyone involved in this campaign. This was a landmark result.
 
This is also why the argument Caroline Lucas and I make in our new piece matters so much.
 
The European Scientific Advisory Board on Climate Change has now said, in terms, that incremental and reactive approaches are no longer enough. What is required is strategic, systemic adaptation – action that protects health systems, infrastructure, food, water, economic stability and democratic cohesion.
 
Europe is beginning to speak the language of reality. 
 
The UK must do the same.
 
You can read the full article here.
 
If you want to take this conversation further, I will be exploring these themes at the upcoming Climate Majority Project event.
 
This news, and the by-election result, both point in the same direction: the old assumptions are breaking down. The space for honesty – and for serious preparation – is opening up.
 
Let’s use it.